Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 28
Published 5:48 pm Monday, January 27, 2025
Tuesday’s game between the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) and No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) matching up at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 78-71 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 7:00 PM ET on January 28.
Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 8.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 148.5 over/under.
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
- Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
- Line: Tennessee -8.5
- Point total: 148.5
- Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Kentucky +300
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Tennessee 78, Kentucky 71
Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
- Pick OU: Over (148.5)
Tennessee’s record against the spread so far this season is 13-7-0, while Kentucky’s is 9-10-0. The Volunteers have a 7-13-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 10-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 163.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
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Tennessee Performance Insights
- The Volunteers are outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game with a +335 scoring differential overall. They put up 75.1 points per game (175th in college basketball) and allow 58.4 per outing (third in college basketball).
- Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 8.5 boards on average. It collects 35.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 50th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26.8 per outing.
- Tennessee knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (160th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 per game its opponents make at a 25.4% rate.
- The Volunteers’ 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 92nd in college basketball, and the 77.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank second in college basketball.
- Tennessee has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.2 per game (68th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.2 (140th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats’ +230 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 88.1 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76 per contest (296th in college basketball).
- Kentucky prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.1 boards. It collects 36.5 rebounds per game (25th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.4.
- Kentucky makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents.
- Kentucky has committed 9.8 turnovers per game (34th in college basketball) while forcing 10.1 (313th in college basketball).
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