Saturday’s game between the Morehead State Eagles (5-6, 1-0 OVC) and the Tennessee State Tigers (4-8, 0-1 OVC) at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has a projected final score of 77-74 based on our computer prediction, with Morehead State coming out on top. Tipoff is at 3:30 PM ET on December 21.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup versus Morehead State. The total is listed at 148.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 3:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -3.5
• Point total: 148.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -192, Tennessee State +154

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 77, Tennessee State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Tennessee State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Morehead State has a 5-4-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Tennessee State, who is 4-5-0 ATS. The Eagles have hit the over in four games, while Tigers games have gone over eight times. The two teams average 150.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles are being outscored by 3.7 points per game with a -41 scoring differential overall. They put up 69.5 points per game (308th in college basketball) and give up 73.2 per outing (236th in college basketball).
• Morehead State wins the rebound battle by 3.4 boards on average. It records 33.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 135th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.5 per contest.
• Morehead State hits 1.5 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 6.0 (334th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5.
• The Eagles rank 293rd in college basketball with 90.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 278th in college basketball defensively with 95.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Morehead State has lost the turnover battle by 2.0 turnovers per game, committing 11.8 (200th in college basketball play) while forcing 9.8 (327th in college basketball).

Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers are outscoring opponents by 4.8 points per game, with a +58 scoring differential overall. They put up 81.4 points per game (63rd in college basketball) and allow 76.6 per outing (300th in college basketball).
• The 42.1 rebounds per game Tennessee State accumulates rank first in the nation, 10.4 more than the 31.7 its opponents record.
• Tennessee State knocks down 6.4 three-pointers per game (306th in college basketball) while shooting 28.2% from deep (349th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.6 per game at 32.7%.
• Tennessee State has committed 14.8 turnovers per game (350th in college basketball), 2.0 more than the 12.8 it forces (135th in college basketball).

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