Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 17

Published 10:18 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-7) take the court against the Miami Heat (5-6) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.9)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (228.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.7
  • The Pacers sport a 6-6-0 ATS record this season compared to the 5-6-0 mark from the Heat.
  • When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Indiana (2-4) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (33.3%) than Miami (3-1) does as the underdog (75%).
  • Indiana and its opponents have gone over the point total 66.7% of the time this season (eight out of 12). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (six out of 11).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Pacers are 2-4, while the Heat are 2-3 as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are 13th in the NBA with 113.6 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank 25th with 117.2 points allowed per contest.
  • While Indiana ranks in the bottom five in the NBA in rebounds per game with 40 (third-worst), it ranks 19th in the league with 44.6 rebounds allowed per game.
  • This year, the Pacers rank eighth in the league in assists, putting up 27.8 per game.
  • This season, Indiana is committing 13.9 turnovers per game (16th-ranked in NBA) and forcing 12.9 turnovers per contest (21st-ranked).
  • The Pacers are making 12.3 threes per game (19th-ranked in league). They sport a 37.4% shooting percentage (ninth-ranked) from downtown.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat score 111.5 points per game and give up 111.2, ranking them 19th in the league offensively and 10th on defense.
  • Miami is 22nd in the league in rebounds per game (42.4) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (46.3).
  • With 25.5 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
  • In terms of turnovers, Miami is third-best in the NBA in committing them (11.7 per game). It is seventh in forcing them (15.2 per game).
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.8). They are fourth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.5%.

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