Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 10:16 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) take the court against the Miami Heat (27-30) as 3.5-point favorites on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (226.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.1
  • The Pacers have covered the spread more often than the Heat this season, tallying an ATS record of 28-29-0, as opposed to the 26-31-0 mark of the Heat.
  • When the spread is set as 3.5 or more this season, Indiana (12-15) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (44.4%) than Miami (6-11) does as the underdog (35.3%).
  • When it comes to exceeding the total in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents aren’t as successful (54.4% of the time) as Indiana and its opponents (57.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Pacers are 21-12, while the Heat are 8-17 as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Pacers are averaging 116.4 points per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are giving up 115.2 points per contest on defense (20th-ranked).
  • While Indiana is in the bottom five in the NBA in rebounds per game with 41.4 (third-worst), it ranks 19th in the league with 44.6 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • This season, the Pacers rank sixth in the league in assists, putting up 28.9 per game.
  • Indiana is top-five this year in turnovers, ranking fourth-best in the league with 12.6 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Pacers are sinking 12.7 treys per game (19th-ranked in NBA) this season, while owning a 36.7% three-point percentage (11th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • Offensively the Heat are the 24th-ranked squad in the league (110.0 points per game). On defense they are seventh (110.6 points allowed per game).
  • Miami is 18th in the league in rebounds per game (43.9) and 23rd in rebounds conceded (45.5).
  • This season the Heat are ranked 16th in the NBA in assists at 26.1 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is sixth in the league in turnovers committed (12.7 per game) and 23rd in turnovers forced (12.6).
  • With 13.9 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.0% from beyond the arc, the Heat are 11th and 15th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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