Thursday’s game at Gentry Center has the Tennessee State Tigers (14-15, 10-8 OVC) matching up with the Morehead State Eagles (14-15, 9-9 OVC) at 8:30 PM ET on February 27. Our computer prediction projects a 77-68 victory for Tennessee State, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Tennessee State is projected to cover the point spread (8.5) versus Morehead State. The two teams are projected to come in below the 145.5 over/under.

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Gentry Center
• Line: Tennessee State -8.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee State -420, Morehead State +310

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee State 77, Morehead State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (-8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Tennessee State has gone 14-12-0 against the spread, while Morehead State’s ATS record this season is 11-15-0. The Tigers have a 19-7-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Eagles have a record of 10-16-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 146.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee State is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 games, while Morehead State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 2-8 overall.

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Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a +133 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.5 points per game. They’re putting up 79.3 points per game to rank 58th in college basketball and are giving up 74.8 per contest to rank 266th in college basketball.
• Tennessee State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 7.0 boards. It is grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.2 per contest.
• Tennessee State makes 6.8 three-pointers per game (279th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 32.2% from deep while its opponents hit 32.6% from long range.
• The Tigers rank 227th in college basketball with 94.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 73rd in college basketball defensively with 88.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee State has committed 2.5 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 14.9 (359th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.4 (95th in college basketball).

Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles are being outscored by 2.7 points per game, with a -78 scoring differential overall. They put up 66.8 points per game (340th in college basketball), and give up 69.5 per outing (103rd in college basketball).
• Morehead State ranks 87th in the country at 33.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 29 its opponents average.
• Morehead State hits 5.9 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
• Morehead State has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 10.8 per game (133rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (337th in college basketball).

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