Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 26

Published 5:48 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

Wednesday’s game at Lloyd Noble Center has the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (18-9, 7-7 SEC) going head-to-head against the Oklahoma Sooners (17-10, 4-10 SEC) at 9:00 PM (on February 26). Our computer prediction projects a 81-76 victory for Kentucky, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Oklahoma. The over/under is listed at 163.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.

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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Norman, Oklahoma
  • Venue: Lloyd Noble Center
  • Line: Kentucky -1.5
  • Point total: 163.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -128, Oklahoma +106

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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 81, Oklahoma 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Oklahoma

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Kentucky has a 14-13-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Oklahoma, who is 12-15-0 ATS. The Wildcats are 14-13-0 and the Sooners are 15-12-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams average 163.4 points per game combined, 0.1 less than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Kentucky has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall. Oklahoma has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats average 85.7 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76.4 per contest (303rd in college basketball). They have a +249 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 9.3 points per game.
  • Kentucky averages 35.0 rebounds per game (43rd in college basketball) while allowing 32.1 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.9 boards per game.
  • Kentucky knocks down 10.0 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball), 1.8 more than its opponents (8.2).
  • The Wildcats rank 14th in college basketball by averaging 106.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 222nd in college basketball, allowing 94.6 points per 100 possessions.
  • Kentucky forces 9.6 turnovers per game (335th in college basketball) while committing 10.1 (69th in college basketball play).

Oklahoma Performance Insights

  • The Sooners have a +115 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.2 points per game. They’re putting up 77.7 points per game, 83rd in college basketball, and are giving up 73.5 per contest to rank 233rd in college basketball.
  • Oklahoma pulls down 29.4 rebounds per game (320th in college basketball) while allowing 30.8 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.4 boards per game.
  • Oklahoma hits 8.5 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball) while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc (67th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.3 per game at 29.9%.
  • Oklahoma and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Sooners commit 11.7 per game (236th in college basketball) and force 12.6 (80th in college basketball).

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