Saturday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-5, 10-3 SEC) and No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (18-8, 7-6 SEC) going head-to-head at Coleman Coliseum has a projected final score of 86-80 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 6:00 PM ET on February 22.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama. The over/under is listed at 177.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
• Venue: Coleman Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -8.5
• Point total: 177.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -365, Kentucky +285

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 86, Kentucky 80

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (177.5)

Both Alabama and Kentucky are 14-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Crimson Tide have gone over the point total in 16 games, while Wildcats games have gone over 14 times. The two teams score 176.4 points per game combined, 1.1 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide outscore opponents by 10.3 points per game (scoring 90.6 points per game to rank first in college basketball while giving up 80.3 per outing to rank 349th in college basketball) and have a +268 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 7.6 boards. It is collecting 39.9 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.3 per contest.
• Alabama makes 10.2 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) while shooting 34.2% from deep (166th in college basketball). It is making 3.1 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 7.1 per game while shooting 30.2%.
• The Crimson Tide rank 23rd in college basketball by averaging 104.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 157th in college basketball, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama loses the turnover battle by 2.7 per game, committing 12.5 (289th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.8.

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats have a +262 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.1 points per game. They’re putting up 85.8 points per game, third in college basketball, and are giving up 75.7 per outing to rank 289th in college basketball.
• Kentucky averages 35.1 rebounds per game (43rd in college basketball) while allowing 31.9 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.2 boards per game.
• Kentucky makes 10.0 three-pointers per game (26th in college basketball) while shooting 38.0% from deep (21st in college basketball). It is making 1.9 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.1 per game at 29.0%.
• Kentucky forces 9.3 turnovers per game (339th in college basketball) while committing 10.0 (60th in college basketball).

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