Tuesday’s game features the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) and the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) facing off at Rupp Arena in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 75-74 win for Tennessee according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 2.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 149.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Tennessee -2.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -130, Kentucky +108

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Tennessee has a 15-9-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Kentucky, who is 11-12-0 ATS. The Volunteers are 9-15-0 and the Wildcats are 13-10-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 161.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +372 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.8 points per game (165th in college basketball) while allowing 59.3 per contest (third in college basketball).
• Tennessee comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.1 boards. It is grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (47th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.0 per contest.
• Tennessee knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents (6.9). It is shooting 34.3% from deep (148th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 26.6%.
• The Volunteers record 99.7 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball), while allowing 79.0 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
• Tennessee has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.2 per game (73rd in college basketball action) while forcing 11.7 (165th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 10.1 points per game (posting 86.7 points per game, third in college basketball, and giving up 76.6 per outing, 307th in college basketball) and have a +234 scoring differential.
• Kentucky is 27th in the nation at 35.9 rebounds per game. That’s 4.0 more than the 31.9 its opponents average.
• Kentucky makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) at a 37.9% rate (24th in college basketball), compared to the 8.6 per game its opponents make, at a 30.0% rate.
• Kentucky has committed 9.8 turnovers per game (41st in college basketball) while forcing 9.2 (346th in college basketball).

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