Little Rock vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 8

Published 9:49 pm Friday, February 7, 2025

Saturday’s contest at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has the Little Rock Trojans (15-9, 9-4 OVC) matching up with the Morehead State Eagles (14-10, 9-4 OVC) at 2:00 PM (on February 8). Our computer prediction projects a 69-65 victory for Little Rock, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Little Rock is projected to cover the point spread (2.5) against Morehead State. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 128.5 total.

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Little Rock vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPNU
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Morehead, Kentucky
  • Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
  • Line: Little Rock -2.5
  • Point total: 128.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Little Rock -150, Morehead State +122

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Little Rock vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Little Rock 69, Morehead State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Little Rock vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: Little Rock (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (128.5)

Little Rock’s record against the spread so far this season is 13-9-0, and Morehead State’s is 11-10-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 5-17-0 and the Eagles are 7-14-0. The two teams combine to score 136.6 points per game, 8.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Little Rock is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 games, while Morehead State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Little Rock Performance Insights

  • The Trojans have a +82 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.4 points per game. They’re putting up 68.9 points per game to rank 303rd in college basketball and are giving up 65.5 per outing to rank 34th in college basketball.
  • The 32.6 rebounds per game Little Rock averages rank 165th in college basketball. Its opponents record 33.5 per contest.
  • Little Rock connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (266th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5. It shoots 36.9% from deep while its opponents hit 29.6% from long range.
  • The Trojans rank 329th in college basketball with 88.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 18th in college basketball defensively with 84 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Little Rock wins the turnover battle by 1.5 per game, committing 12.5 (287th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles have a -23 scoring differential, putting up 67.7 points per game (324th in college basketball) and allowing 68.6 (87th in college basketball).
  • The 34.3 rebounds per game Morehead State accumulates rank 73rd in the country, 4.8 more than the 29.5 its opponents grab.
  • Morehead State connects on 5.8 three-pointers per game (344th in college basketball) at a 30.9% rate (318th in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 its opponents make, shooting 33.2% from beyond the arc.
  • Morehead State has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.3 per game, committing 10.8 (123rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (334th in college basketball).

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