Kentucky vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18
Published 1:48 pm Friday, January 17, 2025
Saturday’s game features the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) and the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) matching up at Rupp Arena in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 83-82 win for Kentucky according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 12:00 PM ET on January 18.
Based on our computer prediction, Alabama projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup versus Kentucky. The over/under is listed at 178.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Kentucky -3.5
- Point total: 178.5
- Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -156, Alabama +130
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 83, Alabama 82
Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama
- Pick ATS: Alabama (+3.5)
- Pick OU: Under (178.5)
Both Kentucky and Alabama are 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. Both the Wildcats and the Crimson Tide are 9-8-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The two teams average 178.2 points per game combined, 0.3 less than this matchup’s over/under. Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests, while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
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Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats outscore opponents by 14.1 points per game (scoring 88.7 points per game to rank third in college basketball while allowing 74.6 per outing to rank 265th in college basketball) and have a +240 scoring differential overall.
- Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.9 boards. It is collecting 36.4 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5 per contest.
- Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball), 2.4 more than its opponents (7.7). It is shooting 36.5% from deep (62nd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 28.0%.
- The Wildcats’ 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank ninth in college basketball, and the 90.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 151st in college basketball.
- Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.5 per game (19th in college basketball) and force 10.5 (291st in college basketball play).
Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide put up 89.5 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 77.2 per outing (310th in college basketball). They have a +209 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game.
- Alabama prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 8.6 boards. It records 40.9 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.3.
- Alabama knocks down 3.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.0 (31st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
- Alabama has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.8 per game, committing 12.2 (254th in college basketball) while forcing 10.4 (298th in college basketball).
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