Thursday’s contest between the Morehead State Eagles (10-7, 5-1 OVC) and Western Illinois Leathernecks (8-9, 2-4 OVC) squaring off at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has a projected final score of 72-67 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Morehead State, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 7:30 PM ET on January 16.

According to our computer prediction, the Morehead State versus Western Illinois game has a predicted spread that equals the actual spread (5.5). The two sides are projected to eclipse the 131.5 over/under.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -5.5
• Point total: 131.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -280, Western Illinois +220

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 72, Western Illinois 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Western Illinois

• Pick ATS: Pick Em
• Pick OU: Over (131.5)

Morehead State’s record against the spread so far this season is 9-5-0, while Western Illinois’ is 4-10-0. The Eagles are 4-10-0 and the Leathernecks are 10-4-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score an average of 140.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Morehead State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over the past 10 games. Western Illinois has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles have a -4 scoring differential, putting up 69.6 points per game (301st in college basketball) and giving up 69.8 (130th in college basketball).
• Morehead State is 59th in the nation at 35.4 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 29.5 its opponents average.
• Morehead State knocks down 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than its opponents (7.0).
• The Eagles put up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (283rd in college basketball), while giving up 91.7 points per 100 possessions (182nd in college basketball).
• Morehead State has lost the turnover battle by 1.3 turnovers per game, committing 11.5 (184th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.2 (312th in college basketball).

Western Illinois Performance Insights

• The Leathernecks put up 70.5 points per game (278th in college basketball) while allowing 70.5 per outing (151st in college basketball). They have a -1 scoring differential.
• Western Illinois comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It grabs 31.9 rebounds per game (231st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.7.
• Western Illinois makes 8.4 three-pointers per game (121st in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents.
• Western Illinois has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 10.9 per game (124th in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (340th in college basketball).

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