Saturday’s game between the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 SEC) and No. 6 Kentucky Wildcats (12-3, 1-1 SEC) going head-to-head at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 80-77 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Mississippi State, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will begin at 8:30 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 4.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 161.5 total.

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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -4.5
• Point total: 161.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -184, Kentucky +152

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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 80, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (161.5)

Mississippi State has compiled a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 7-8-0. The Bulldogs are 7-8-0 and the Wildcats are 8-7-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 172.3 points per game, 10.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 17.0 points per game with a +254 scoring differential overall. They put up 83.5 points per game (28th in college basketball) and allow 66.5 per contest (61st in college basketball).
• The 37.1 rebounds per game Mississippi State averages rank 23rd in the country, and are 5.9 more than the 31.2 its opponents pull down per contest.
• Mississippi State hits 8.7 three-pointers per game (99th in college basketball), 1.4 more than its opponents (7.3). It is shooting 34.2% from deep (161st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.8%.
• The Bulldogs rank 30th in college basketball by averaging 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 34th in college basketball, allowing 83.8 points per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has committed 9.2 turnovers per game (15th in college basketball play), 4.7 fewer than the 13.9 it forces on average (49th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats’ +223 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 88.8 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 73.9 per outing (249th in college basketball).
• The 36.7 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 26th in the country, 3.6 more than the 33.1 its opponents grab.
• Kentucky knocks down 2.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 9.8 (40th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5.
• Kentucky has won the turnover battle by 1.7 per game, committing 9.0 (seventh in college basketball) while forcing 10.7 (282nd in college basketball).

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