Thursday’s game at Baptist Health Arena has the Eastern Kentucky Colonels (7-8, 1-1 ASUN) matching up with the North Florida Ospreys (7-8, 0-2 ASUN) at 7:00 PM (on January 9). Our computer prediction projects a 82-78 victory for Eastern Kentucky, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Eastern Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (2.5) against North Florida. The two sides are expected to come in below the 170.5 over/under.

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Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Richmond, Kentucky
• Venue: Baptist Health Arena
• Line: Eastern Kentucky -2.5
• Point total: 170.5
• Moneyline (to win): Eastern Kentucky -154, North Florida +126

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Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Eastern Kentucky 82, North Florida 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida

• Pick ATS: Eastern Kentucky (-2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (170.5)

Both Eastern Kentucky and North Florida are 6-7-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Colonels have a 10-3-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Ospreys have a record of 11-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 160.6 points per game combined, 9.9 fewer than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Eastern Kentucky has a 3-7 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall. North Florida has gone 3-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Eastern Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Colonels have a +7 scoring differential, putting up 77.1 points per game (137th in college basketball) and giving up 76.6 (308th in college basketball).
• Eastern Kentucky ranks 72nd in college basketball at 35.1 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 fewer than the 36.7 its opponents average.
• Eastern Kentucky makes 9.3 three-pointers per game (64th in college basketball) at a 31.4% rate (294th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per game its opponents make at a 33.7% rate.
• The Colonels rank 271st in college basketball with 91.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 185th in college basketball defensively with 91.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Eastern Kentucky has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.7 per game (101st in college basketball action) while forcing 14.1 (44th in college basketball).

North Florida Performance Insights

• The Ospreys put up 83.5 points per game (29th in college basketball) while giving up 85.6 per contest (361st in college basketball). They have a -31 scoring differential and have been outscored by 2.1 points per game.
• North Florida averages 34.1 rebounds per game (115th in college basketball) while allowing 38.1 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 4.0 boards per game.
• North Florida connects on 12.3 three-pointers per game (first in college basketball) while shooting 34.7% from deep (133rd in college basketball). It is making 5.0 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.3 per game at 35.9%.
• North Florida and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Ospreys commit 11.2 per game (150th in college basketball) and force 10.9 (262nd in college basketball).

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