Saturday’s game that pits the No. 10 Kentucky Wildcats (11-2, 0-0 SEC) against the No. 6 Florida Gators (13-0, 0-0 SEC) at Rupp Arena is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 79-77 in favor of Kentucky. Game time is at 11:00 AM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the point spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 165.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 11:00 AM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -115, Florida -104

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Kentucky vs. Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 79, Florida 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Florida

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Kentucky is 6-7-0 against the spread this season compared to Florida’s 10-3-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Wildcats are 7-6-0 and the Gators are 5-8-0. The two teams score 176.4 points per game, 10.9 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Kentucky is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Florida has gone 9-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats’ +230 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 89.0 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 71.3 per contest (186th in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. It is collecting 37.8 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.0 per contest.
• Kentucky connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball), 2.6 more than its opponents (7.2).
• The Wildcats rank 14th in college basketball with 107.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 85th in college basketball defensively with 86.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Kentucky has committed 9.0 turnovers per game (10th in college basketball play), 1.7 fewer than the 10.7 it forces on average (281st in college basketball).

Florida Performance Insights

• The Gators are outscoring opponents by 23.9 points per game, with a +311 scoring differential overall. They put up 87.4 points per game (eighth in college basketball) and give up 63.5 per contest (24th in college basketball).
• Florida is first in the country at 43.5 rebounds per game. That’s 13.9 more than the 29.6 its opponents average.
• Florida hits 9.7 three-pointers per game (44th in college basketball) at a 34.5% rate (145th in college basketball), compared to the 6.0 per game its opponents make, at a 26.6% rate.
• Florida has committed 10.9 turnovers per game (123rd in college basketball), 1.9 fewer than the 12.8 it forces (129th in college basketball).

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