Thursday’s game between the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (11-1) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) going head-to-head at Memorial Coliseum has a projected final score of 69-64 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Mississippi State. The over/under is listed at 135.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -3.5
• Point total: 135.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -175, Mississippi State +145

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 69, Mississippi State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (135.5)

The teams combine to score 157.3 points per game, 21.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats average 78.4 points per game (39th in college basketball) while allowing 57.1 per contest (53rd in college basketball). They have a +256 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 21.3 points per game.
• The 38.8 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 23rd in the country, and are 9.8 more than the 29 its opponents collect per contest.
• Kentucky connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) while shooting 29.6% from beyond the arc (227th in college basketball). It is making three more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 4.8 per game while shooting 24.9%.
• The Wildcats average 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (34th in college basketball), and give up 69.6 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).
• Kentucky has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (23rd in college basketball action), 1.1 fewer than the 13.3 it forces on average (321st in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs put up 78.9 points per game (35th in college basketball) while allowing 51.9 per contest (sixth in college basketball). They have a +378 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 27.0 points per game.
• The 40.5 rebounds per game Mississippi State accumulates rank 10th in the nation, 14.6 more than the 25.9 its opponents collect.
• Mississippi State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (125th in college basketball) while shooting 32.4% from deep (136th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 5.6 per game at 24.5%.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 1.2 per game, committing 16.4 (199th in college basketball) while its opponents average 17.6.

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