Kentucky vs. Ohio State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 21

Published 5:48 pm Friday, December 20, 2024

Saturday’s contest between the No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats (10-1) and Ohio State Buckeyes (7-4) going head-to-head at Madison Square Garden has a projected final score of 81-75 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will begin at 5:30 PM ET on December 21.

Based on our computer prediction, Ohio State should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 7.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 160.5 over/under.

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Kentucky vs. Ohio State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
  • Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: New York City, New York
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Line: Kentucky -7.5
  • Point total: 160.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -319, Ohio State +255

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Kentucky vs. Ohio State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 81, Ohio State 75

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Ohio State

  • Pick ATS: Ohio State (+7.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (160.5)

Kentucky has a 5-6-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Ohio State, who is 7-4-0 ATS. The Wildcats have a 7-4-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Buckeyes have a record of 5-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 172 points per game, 11.5 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats’ +216 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 19.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 91.3 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 71.6 per outing (193rd in college basketball).
  • Kentucky wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It is collecting 39.7 rebounds per game (seventh in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.6 per contest.
  • Kentucky hits 10.3 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball), 2.7 more than its opponents (7.6). It is shooting 36.7% from deep (78th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 27.6%.
  • The Wildcats’ 108.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in college basketball, and the 85.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 72nd in college basketball.
  • Kentucky forces 9.9 turnovers per game (323rd in college basketball) while committing 9.4 (27th in college basketball play).

Ohio State Performance Insights

  • The Buckeyes have a +128 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.6 points per game. They’re putting up 80.7 points per game, 77th in college basketball, and are giving up 69.1 per outing to rank 127th in college basketball.
  • Ohio State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. It collects 32.6 rebounds per game (214th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.9.
  • Ohio State makes 2.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.0 (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8.
  • Ohio State and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Buckeyes commit 10.5 per game (83rd in college basketball) and force 11.4 (234th in college basketball).

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