Saturday’s game that pits the No. 5 Kentucky Wildcats (9-1) against the Louisville Cardinals (6-4) at Rupp Arena should be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 82-72 in favor of Kentucky, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 5:15 PM ET on December 14.

According to our computer prediction, Louisville projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Kentucky. The over/under has been set at 157.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 14, 2024
• Time: 5:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -11.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -752, Louisville +520

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 82, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Louisville

• Pick ATS: Louisville (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Kentucky has compiled a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season, while Louisville is 4-6-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Wildcats are 6-4-0 and the Cardinals are 2-8-0. The teams score 167.2 points per game, 9.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 20.8 points per game with a +208 scoring differential overall. They put up 91.1 points per game (first in college basketball) and allow 70.3 per contest (166th in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 5.9 boards on average. It records 40.1 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in college basketball, while its opponents grab 34.2 per contest.
• Kentucky knocks down 10.2 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) at a 35.5% rate (117th in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 per game its opponents make at a 26.4% rate.
• The Wildcats’ 108.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in college basketball, and the 83.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 41st in college basketball.
• Kentucky has committed 9.2 turnovers per game (19th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (309th in college basketball).

Louisville Performance Insights

• The Cardinals’ +74 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.1 points per game (175th in college basketball) while allowing 68.7 per outing (125th in college basketball).
• Louisville is 39th in the nation at 37.1 rebounds per game. That’s 6.7 more than the 30.4 its opponents average.
• Louisville makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball) at a 27.0% rate (352nd in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 its opponents make, shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc.
• Louisville has won the turnover battle by 2.1 per game, committing 12.5 (264th in college basketball) while forcing 14.6 (47th in college basketball).

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