Wednesday’s game at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has the Austin Peay Governors (3-1) matching up with the Morehead State Eagles (1-3) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 78-64 victory, as our model heavily favors Austin Peay.

According to our computer prediction, Austin Peay is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 3.5. The two teams are projected to exceed the 138.5 total.

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Austin Peay vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2024
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Austin Peay -3.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Austin Peay -172, Morehead State +140

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Austin Peay vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Austin Peay 78, Morehead State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Austin Peay vs. Morehead State

• Pick ATS: Austin Peay (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

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Austin Peay Performance Insights

• Last year, Austin Peay was 138th in the nation on offense (74.8 points scored per game) and 221st defensively (73.2 points conceded).
• On the glass, the Governors were 237th in college basketball in rebounds (31.2 per game) last year. They were 215th in rebounds allowed (32.2 per game).
• With 11.1 assists per game last year, Austin Peay was 325th in the country.
• The Governors were 127th in the country in 3-pointers made (7.9 per game) and 58th in 3-point percentage (36.1%) last season.
• Austin Peay gave up 6.6 3-pointers per game and conceded 32.3% from beyond the arc last year, ranking 83rd and 95th, respectively, in college basketball.
• The Governors attempted 63.5% of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 36.5% from beyond it last season. In terms of makes, 70.6% of the Governors’ baskets were 2-pointers, and 29.4% were 3-pointers.

Morehead State Performance Insights

• Morehead State had a top-25 defense last year, ranking ninth-best in college basketball with 63.4 points allowed per game. Offensively, it ranked 121st with 75.3 points scored per contest.
• The Eagles played well in terms of rebounding, as they ranked 20th-best in college basketball in boards (36.3 per game) and ninth-best in rebounds allowed (27.2 per contest).
• Morehead State delivered 14.9 dimes per game, which ranked them 70th in college basketball.
• The Eagles committed 11.1 turnovers per game (167th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while forcing 10.1 turnovers per contest (291st-ranked).
• The Eagles ranked top-25 last year in three-point shooting, 23rd-best in college basketball with 9.4 treys per game. Meanwhile, they ranked 68th with a 36.0% shooting percentage from three-point land.
• Morehead State thrived in terms of defending against three-point shooting last season, ranking 13th-best in the nation in treys allowed per game (5.7) and 18th-best in three-point percentage allowed (30.2%).
• Morehead State attempted 31.6 two-pointers per game last year, which accounted for 54.8% of the shots it attempted (and 65.1% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, it attempted 26.1 threes per contest, which were 45.2% of its shots (and 34.9% of the team’s buckets).

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