Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 15

Published 3:17 pm Thursday, November 14, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-6) are only 2.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Miami Heat (4-6) on Friday, November 15, 2024 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 15, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Pacers 114 – Heat 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Pacers (-1.4)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 225.9
  • The Pacers (6-5-0 ATS) have covered the spread 54.5% of the time, 14.5% more often than the Heat (4-6-0) this year.
  • When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Indiana (2-3) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (40%) than Miami (2-1) does as the underdog (66.7%).
  • Miami and its opponents have exceeded the total 50% of the time this season (five out of 10). That’s less often than Indiana and its opponents have (seven out of 11).
  • The Pacers have a .400 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (2-3) this season while the Heat have a .250 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (1-3).

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • So far this year, the Pacers are putting up 113.8 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) and surrendering 116.5 points per contest (23rd-ranked).
  • Indiana has found it difficult to pile up rebounds this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 40.1 boards per game. It ranks 24th by allowing 45.5 rebounds per contest.
  • The Pacers rank eighth in the NBA with 27.7 assists per game.
  • Indiana ranks 13th in the NBA with 13.4 turnovers per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 22nd with 13.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • So far this year, the Pacers are making 12.2 three-pointers per game (22nd-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 37.1% (10th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Heat are 20th in the NBA offensively (110.2 points scored per game) and 11th defensively (111.2 points allowed).
  • In 2024-25, Miami is 18th in the league in rebounds (43 per game) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (47).
  • This season the Heat are ranked 18th in the league in assists at 25.4 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is fourth-best in the NBA in turnovers committed (11.9 per game) and ranked 10th in turnovers forced (14.7).
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are eighth in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.8). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.8%.

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