Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1
Published 4:38 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024
According to our computer model, the Cincinnati Bengals will beat the New England Patriots when they play at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.
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With 374.6 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranked second-worst in the NFL, the Bengals had to lean on their 22nd-ranked offense (318.9 yards per contest) to keep them in games last season. While the Patriots’ defense ranked 15th with 21.5 points allowed per game last season, they were worse on offense, ranking second-worst (13.9 points per game).
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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals (-7.5) | Under (41) | Bengals 27, Patriots 13 |
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Bengals Betting Info
- The Bengals have an implied moneyline win probability of 80.0% in this matchup.
- Cincinnati covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
- A total of 10 Cincinnati games last season went over the point total.
- The point total average for Bengals games last season was 43.5, 2.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Patriots Betting Info
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Patriots have a 24.4% chance to win.
- New England went 5-12-0 ATS last season.
- The Patriots covered the spread twice last year (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
- A total of seven of New England games last year hit the over.
- Games involving the Patriots last year averaged 39.4 points per game, a 1.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 21.5 | 22.6 | 23.7 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 26.5 |
| Patriots | 13.9 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 22.3 |
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